Friday, October 31, 2008
Please be safe today. The forecast looks great. It will be sunny and very mild today reaching 12C. This should quickly eliminate the remaining snow in Kemptville at the very least. Tonight for tricks or treats in most of Ontario and western Quebec, fair and mild. There will be just a chance of a shower as a weak cold front moves through, but it will be very slight and most areas will remain dry.
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Brockville 18 cm
Embrun over 15 cm
Kanata 12.5 cm
Ottawa 10 cm
Russell 10 cm
Cornwall 10-12 cm
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
trees down and power out. Photo: justinbcarrier
Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for the entire region with 15-20cm expected from Ottawa south towards Brockville and into the Adirondacks. Rain will mainly fall east of a line from Cornwall to Hawkesbury. Precipitation will taper off quickly west of Kingston
In the lee of the Great Lakes the snow machine will turn on and squalls are expected tonight and tomorrow on very strong northwest winds. Up to 15cm is expected there as well and warnings are in place. More details later tonight.............
Update: The watch has been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning as of 11:00am for Kemptville and surrounding areas. Look for 15-20cm of wet snow begining this evening.
This is a dangerous storm due to it arrival in late October. You should cancel all travel plans till mid-day Wednesday if you are going south or east. If heading west, due so early today. West of Kingston precipitation from this system will end rapidly with little more than a flurrie expected in Toronto. East of the area it will be a heavy rain event in Montreal with only a couple of centimetres towards the end of the storm.
Winter Storm Watch: Eastern Ontario
Winter Weather Advisory: St. Lawrence Valley of NY
Winter Storm Warning: Adirondacks
Heavy Snow Warning for western Quebec north and west of Montreal
Monday, October 27, 2008
The National Weather Service in Burlington, Vermont has issued a Winter Storm Watch, the first of the season for the Adirondacks and St. Lawrence Valley. The early season snow is expected to overspread the area on Tuesday and become heavy overnight before tapering off on Wednesday. Right now forecasters are expecting 15-25cm of wet snow, more in the mountains less in the valley's. Low pressure will organize rapidly near Cape Hatteras tonight and race north to near Montreal by Wednesday morning will intensifying. This puts eastern Ontario and northern New York in the focus for the heaviest precipitation and strongest winds.
Most of Quebec meanwhile will be on the slightly warmer side of the storm with more heavy rain forecast for Montreal. Another 25-50mm may fall on top of the 50mm that fell over the area this weekend. Winds will howl out of the northeast at 40-70km/h with this storm.
Be advised travel may become very poor across the entire Montreal, Ottawa, Kingston corridor late Tuesday and overnight.
This was just issued from Environment Canada....
Winter Storm Watch... Merrickville -Wolford - Kemptville 3:50 PM EDT
Monday 27 October 2008 Winter storm watch for Merrickville-Wolford - Kemptville issued
The first Major snow storm of the season likely late Tuesday and Tuesday night.This is an alert to the potential development of dangerous winter weather conditions in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.Humdinger may not be a scientific term but it may very well sum up the weather that mother nature has in store for eastern Ontario. It appears a noreaster will be born just off the North Carolina coast this evening then intensify rapidly tonight and Tuesday before slicing through southwestern Québec Tuesday night.In advance of this system an expanding area of significant rain will blossom across far eastern Ontario on Tuesday before changing to heavy wet snow in many areas by late afternoon or early evening.In a swath from Ottawa through Renfrew to Algonquin significant heavy snow will likely set in late Tuesday and continue into Wednesday morning. Snowfall accumulations in excess of 15 centimetres are likely before it tapers off during the day Wednesday.The rain will linger in the extreme east on Tuesday. From Cornwall to Hawkesbury. Where a rainfall warning is possible once the track of the heaviest rain becomes more certain. The rain will change to snow Tuesday night in this area.
Strong northwest winds of 50 gusting up to 70 km/h Tuesday night in combination with the snow will create hazardous driving conditions due to snow and blowing snow with low visibilities especially when the mercury edges just below the freezing mark. Also any residual leaves left on trees may create additional concerns of snow-laden limbs affecting power lines.
The storm track is still somewhat uncertain. Winter storm warnings and rainfall warnings will be issued as deemed appropriate as the situation unfolds.
Sunday, October 26, 2008
In the last several minutes thunder has been occurring here in Kemptville. Tonight's showers will add to the 52mm of rain that fell in the last 24 hours here in Kemptville. Much colder weather with the risk of our first snow are expected early this week.
Saturday, October 25, 2008
Friday, October 24, 2008
A windy wet storm that has been drenching the US Midwest is moving into the Ohio Valley and the lower Great Lakes this afternoon. This system even produced heavy snow in the Rockies and western high plains.The storm will move across New York State this weekend and into New England. A swath of very heavy rain has already moved into southwest Ontario and will reach Kemptville by daybreak Saturday. From 15-25mm of rain is expected Saturday in our region with more showers for Sunday. A cold front will then move across Ontario and Quebec on Monday followed by a shot of very cold air and the threat of rain changing to snow by Monday night. Another storm system is forecast to develop along the east coast and may or may not affect our weather. It is too soon to know the exact impact of the second storm on our area but watch for updates over the weekend. In any event next week will be breezy and very chilly right through Halloween as expected.
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Photos C. Hofley
Monday, October 20, 2008
Friday, October 17, 2008
Warning non weather rant... How appropriate I thought for my 500th posting. I thought I would write a thank you letter to the Boston Red Sox for a great season. How we fell just a little short this year, you know out played by a better team in the Tampa Bay Rays, injuries to key players, etc etc. Then the 7th, 8th and 9th innings happened last night and the unimaginable is occurring this morning, I am thanking them for another miraculous October comeback. I will let the sports blogs deal with the details but we chopped our way out of the grave last night to beat the Rays 8-7 after trailing them 7-0. Not sure how much more I can take but thank you Boston for departing Fenway on such a high note. And like previous comebacks, if it falls short, you still showed the guts and determination that has made me a loyal fan since the late 70's.
• Oh and how about the weather. This morning was very chilly in Kemptville and the region. We are currently at 0C and another hard frost occurred. The ground is white and the leaves are really beginning to tumble. This weekend will be sunny and cool but very pleasant for outdoor activities. Next week will be chilly with rain and even the hint of a flurrie or two is not out of the question.
• Hurricane Omar developed rapidly and surprisingly this week and ballooned into a Category three storm before skirting the lesser Antilles and coming back down to a Tropical Storm this morning. There was serious damage but so far no reports of loss of life. Omar will drift north well east of Bermuda today.
*don't add up the bottom, two posts were deleted over the years...
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Monday, October 13, 2008
If you are in the east you are enjoying a very warm day. Temperatures exceeded 20C yesterday in many parts of Ontario and Quebec and will do so again today and Tuesday before it cools down by the end of the week. A few showers are occurring around Montreal this morning along a warm front, but they will be short in nature and sun will return this afternoon.
Meanwhile western Canada continues cold. Regina has reported 17cm of snow with much more towards the Montana border. Temperatures remain below freezing with flurries and icy roads. Numerous accidents were reported along with a fatal collision near Yorkton. RCMP are not advising travel along the Trans Canada east of Regina. In Manitoba it was heavy rain that fell, with 25-60mm observed. Across the high plains and Rockies as much as 100cm of wet snow fell with many roads closed and power outages reported. The storm was fed with moisture from the remains of Pacific Hurricane Norbert that came onshore in Mexico. Norbert, once a category 4 hurricane dissipated rapidly after landfall, but fed the tropical moisture northwards into very cold air. The snowstorm this morning is weakening over Manitoba.
Sunday, October 12, 2008
A quick scan of observations showed all locales in SK. under the freezing mark this morning with snow beginning to fall in the southern most areas near the US border. I expect nearly 20cm of snow by storms end from Gravelbourg to Estevan. Close to 30cm may fall in Coronach and Rockglen. Avoid travel in Southern Saskatchewan today. Already over 20cm have been reported in Northern Montana with close to 50cm in the mountains and southern part of that state. Numerous roads are closed. Winds are very gusty creating blizzard conditions at times.
Saturday, October 11, 2008
Friday, October 10, 2008
Current indications are that 20-30cm of snow may fall with temperatures at or below freezing. Northeast winds of 30-50km/h will blow the snow around and produce near blizzard conditions Saturday night in areas south of the number 1 towards northern Montana and western North Dakota. This is not the first time snow has fallen in October. My experience living in Saskatchewan was that the biggest storms occur on the fringes of the seasons, October and May. In 1998 on Thanksgiving weekend a big storm dumped over 30cm on Gravelbourg where I was living. I was in Moose Jaw heading south in a heavy rain and thunder along Provincial Highway 2 to Sask 43. By the time I reached Gravelbourg it was snowing & windy and by Sunday morning 20cm of wet snow had brought down trees and power lines. I took the photo above old school, with black and white film on my Canon 35mm while working for the Gravelbourg Tribune. I even developed the film and made the print myself. Anyway more info on this upcoming storm later today.
Ontario and Quebec will be sunny and warm all weekend. However a very impressive cooling trend is in order by the end of the month with a very cold November forecast. Keep that in mind as you enjoy this weekend and prepare for this coming winter.
Wednesday, October 08, 2008
It was -1C this morning in Kemptville with a widespread hard frost. It has since warmed to 17C a temperature range of over 30 degrees F.
First SNOWSTORM? For any of my western readers, those in Gravelbourg and southern Saskatchewan specifically, it looks like the first winter storm of the season may be on tap for the weekend. A deep trough of low pressure along with surface low pressure near Colorado and cold air from the north may combine to produce snow and wind Saturday and Sunday. It is early yet, but just keep it in your thoughts and watch for updates. I have a link for Saskatchewan weather on the left.
Tuesday, October 07, 2008
Monday, October 06, 2008
In all likelihood it will be a killing frost in many locations. It comes a little earlier than the last two years in Kemptville, which were closer to the 15th of the month. If you have anything left in your gardens, you may want to cover them up. High pressure will be in control most of this week with temperatures warming towards the end of the work week.
Friday, October 03, 2008
This will be a perfect weekend for sitting by the fire place with a good friend, or checking out the spectacular fall colors, perhaps a trip to Saunders Farm in Munster for the opening weekend. Whatever you decide to do, bundle up for it. It will definitely feel like fall. Temperatures will be close to freezing each night with a damp, chilly high of 10 to 12C both days. The sunshine will increase as the weekend wears on, with Sunday being the better of the two days. This morning in Kemptville we were about 2C at sunrise with a heavy dew on everything. The leaves are turning quickly and falling in many cases. I hope everyone has a safe weekend, we certainly deserve it this week.
Wednesday, October 01, 2008
Greetings...It has been a hard week so far at so many levels, and it is only Wednesday morning. Weather has taken a back seat to start the week and it should never have to do that! This morning is overcast and grey in Kemptville and across eastern Ontario. Sadly it will remain that way right into the weekend. If there was any question that fall has arrived, this week will back that up. I have been one of those in denial, wearing shorts and refusing to turn on the heat. This week will reinforce the need for heat and pants! Temperatures will range from plus 1 to 5C at night and no warmer than 10 or 12c during the day. Showers will be off and on in the cool unstable air.